Tag: 上海419论坛香草社区

How Bad Was the Cabrera Deal

How Bad Was the Cabrera Deal

The big news coming out of baseball Thursday night was that Detroit Tigers slugger Miguel Cabrera had been re-signed to a 10-year, $292 million contract extension, the most expensive deal in the history of the sport. On the surface, the pact seems like lunacy on the part of the team’s general manager, Dave Dombrowski.Cabrera has been the best hitter in baseball over the past nine years. Over the last four seasons, he won two American League Most Valuable Player Awards and three AL batting titles. But his gaudy offensive statistics overstate his value: He is a below-average fielder and baserunner. More important, Cabrera will turn 31 in April, meaning the Tigers will be paying him through age 40. Players are typically in decline by the time they hit their early 30s.Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA projection system expects Cabrera to generate about 35 more wins above replacement over the remainder of the contract (after rescaling BP’s value metric to the lower replacement level used more commonly by Baseball-Reference and Fangraphs). If the market rate for a single WAR was $6.5 million in 2014 (I split difference between this estimate and this estimate), and we add 5 percent in annual inflation to the cost of a win, Cabrera’s next 10 years will be worth about $275 million. By this rough math, the Tigers appear to have overpaid by something like $15 million to $20 million.It’s also worth noting that Detroit already had Cabrera locked up through 2015 under his existing contract. The $234 million it’s paying him beyond that season will deliver just $204 million in value, according to PECOTA.However, Dombrowski probably isn’t worried about the high likelihood that Cabrera will be overpaid (and vastly so) throughout the back half of this contract. Instead, he presumably put a premium on locking up the remaining prime seasons of one of the best hitters in baseball history. The Tigers were two wins away from a World Series berth last season with one of the AL’s oldest lineups, so the case can be made that the Tigers are discounting the long-term burdens of Cabrera’s huge contract in exchange for elite performance in the short-to-intermediate term.Indeed, before we lump this deal in with other onerous contracts, such as the ones handed to Alex Rodriguez and Albert Pujols, I’d like to look into modeling those deals against the players’ expected WAR. But for now, it appears the Tigers paid a huge premium for the tail end of Cabrera’s prime, banking on him remaining an MVP-caliber player into his mid-30s. read more

Replacement Commissioners from Canada UK unable to quell TCI crime draws comment

Replacement Commissioners from Canada UK unable to quell TCI crime draws comment

first_img#MagneticMediaNews Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Turks and Caicos, June 26th 2017 – Providenciales –   A Police Commissioner from Canada could not do it.  A Police Commissioner from the UK cannot do it and that must mean, says former Deputy Commissioner of Police, Hubert Hughes, too much was expected of former Commissioner Edward Hall and his team when it was there turn at the helm.  In a detailed comment to Magnetic Media, Hughes who returned to his home of Anguilla after serving many years as second in command of the TCI Police Force said what is happening now is unfortunate and disappointing but points to a recurring problem of limited resources which he believes was exacerbated by top cops who are gravely unfamiliar with the lay of the land. “I was once told by a former British senior police officer that he cannot come to Turks and Caicos Island and tell the local police how to police the Turks and Caicos Islands because of his lack of local knowledge. In addition one of them admitted to me that the first time he saw a kilo of cocaine is when he came to TCI in charge of the criminal investigation drug squad. Policing an archipelago like Turks and Caicos  requires a Command team with good local knowledge of the environment, national culture and subcultures of the different island and families, and good human investigation management training and skills . It calls for a great deal of knowledge on how to police the air, land and sea in order to control gun crime in particular.”Hughes adds that no information to the Police about crime simply means that something is lacking in the relationship between public and police; he said key is mutual respect. “Respect will lead to shared values to improve public confidence in the force. Shared values will lead to trust. Without trust no one will speak to the police in confidence. In order to prevent and detect crime the level of trust within the ranks of the force must be high as well. I’m not convinced if that is the case within the RTCIPF at the moment.”  The former DCP was not only offering constructive criticism, he offered a way forward and penned, “My approach to such a situation would be to divide crimes in the following four categories: exploitive crimes, mutualistic crimes, competitive crimes and individual crimes.”Hughes explained that exploitive crimes, like the shooting of Kevin Newman of Alabama on Friday, should get the most resources, while individualistic crimes, like having a joint, should get the least amount of attention.   Related Items:#magneticmedianews, 3 Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApplast_img read more

Dortmunds coach says players shouldnt get complacent

Dortmunds coach says players shouldnt get complacent

first_imgAccording to manager Lucien Favre, the BVB footballers should take the match about second-from-bottom team Hannover very seriously.Borussia Dortmund is currently in first place of the German Bundesliga.And on Saturday they will be playing against second-from-bottom in the table, Hannover 96.Coach Lucien Favre has warned his players that this match has to be taken seriously.“I have to warn everyone that the three points are far from secure. We need the same level of concentration that we had in Leipzig!” he told the club’s official website.“While it’s true that Hannover lost their last match, I’ve seen a few games of theirs in which they’ve played really well.”“For example, they drew 1-1 in Freiburg and had far more goal-scoring opportunities than their opponents,” he explained.“This was against a Freiburg side that had just come off the back of 3-0 and 2-0 wins against Leipzig and Gladbach respectively. That tells you all you need to know.”Jadon SanchoMerson believes Arsenal should sign Sancho Manuel R. Medina – September 14, 2019 Borussia Dortmund winger Jadon Sancho might be the perfect player to play for the Gunners, according to former England international Paul Merson.But Manuel Akanji and Dan-Axel Zagadou are still out injured, with the possibility of Omer Toprak to play.“He’s been training,” said Favre.“We’ll have to wait until tomorrow.”“It’s hard to give a precise answer. He’s been running during the week – the ball hasn’t been involved just yet, but he’s done a few sprints,” the manager said about Zagadou.“It’s a good situation which we’re really happy with. He’ll get there step by step, but Saturday will come too soon.”And the coach took the opportunity to update about injured Marco Reus.“He’s trained all week. He’s doing well. That alone is really positive,” he concluded.last_img read more

The 43yearold Fred Hall Show at the Del Mar Fairgrounds

The 43yearold Fred Hall Show at the Del Mar Fairgrounds

first_img Categories: Good Morning San Diego, Local San Diego News FacebookTwitter KUSI Newsroom, Posted: March 29, 2019 00:00 00:00 spaceplay / pause qunload | stop ffullscreenshift + ←→slower / faster ↑↓volume mmute ←→seek  . seek to previous 12… 6 seek to 10%, 20% … 60% XColor SettingsAaAaAaAaTextBackgroundOpacity SettingsTextOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundSemi-TransparentOpaqueTransparentFont SettingsSize||TypeSerif MonospaceSerifSans Serif MonospaceSans SerifCasualCursiveSmallCapsResetSave Settings The 43-year-old Fred Hall Show at the Del Mar Fairgrounds March 29, 2019center_img DEL MAR (KUSI) – One of the largest outdoor recreation shows in San Diego is going on during the last weekend of March at the Del Mar Fairgrounds.The show features nearly 500 booths, hundreds of boats, more than 200 outdoor recreation seminars over four days, according to the Fred Hall website.For more information click here. Updated: 2:57 PM KUSI Newsroom 00:00 00:00 spaceplay / pause qunload | stop ffullscreenshift + ←→slower / faster ↑↓volume mmute ←→seek  . seek to previous 12… 6 seek to 10%, 20% … 60% XColor SettingsAaAaAaAaTextBackgroundOpacity SettingsTextOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundSemi-TransparentOpaqueTransparentFont SettingsSize||TypeSerif MonospaceSerifSans Serif MonospaceSans SerifCasualCursiveSmallCapsResetSave Settingslast_img read more

Wilmington DPW Announces Summer Yardwaste Dropoff Program

Wilmington DPW Announces Summer Yardwaste Dropoff Program

first_imgWILMINGTON, MA — The Town’s Yardwaste Center, located on Old Main Street, off of Main Street at the Woburn line, will be open on eight dates during the summer season:Wednesday, June 5, 2019: 8am to 2pmSaturday, June 8, 2019: 9am to 4pmWednesday, July 10, 2019: 8am to 2pmSaturday, July 13, 2019: 9am to 4pmWednesday, August 7, 2019: 8am to 2pmSaturday, August 10, 2019: 9am to 4pmWednesday, September 4, 2019: 8am to 2pmSaturday, September 7, 2019: 9am to 4pmResidents will need to purchase a punch-card for $15 in order to enter the yardwaste center. Punch-cards will be available for purchase through the Collector’s Office at Town Hall and will allow up to 5 vehicle trips to the Yardwaste Center per card. NO GRASS CLIPPINGS OR STUMPS WILL BE ACCEPTED. Commercial vehicles will not be allowed. Make sure to bring photo identification to show you are a Wilmington resident.For a complete schedule of the Town’s 2019 Yard Waste Program and other information on waste disposal and recycling, please call the Department of Public Works at 978-658-4481 or refer to the department’s website HERE.Like Wilmington Apple on Facebook. Follow Wilmington Apple on Twitter. Follow Wilmington Apple on Instagram. Subscribe to Wilmington Apple’s daily email newsletter HERE. Got a comment, question, photo, press release, or news tip? Email [email protected] this:TwitterFacebookLike this:Like Loading… RelatedWilmington Yardwaste Center Will Be Open Twice This SeptemberIn “Community”Wilmington Yardwaste Center Open This Week — August 7 & 10In “Government”Wilmington Yardwaste Center Will Be Open Twice This August — August 7 & 10In “Government”last_img read more

ATT turns on 5G in Las Vegas expands network count to 20

ATT turns on 5G in Las Vegas expands network count to 20

first_imgAT&T’s 5G network has expanded to its twentieth city.  Roberto Machado Noa AT&T’s 5G network is continuing to grow, though it still remains limited to business users. On Thursday the wireless carrier announced that it has turned on 5G in Las Vegas, its twentieth city to get its 5G mmWave network (what AT&T calls “5G+”). Exactly where the 5G network will appear in the city isn’t yet known. AT&T says it will have 5G in “parts of Las Vegas” but did not provide a coverage map or any details on particular locations. Our early tests of AT&T’s 5G network have been impressive, with speeds in Los Angeles well over 1Gbps. At twenty live cities, AT&T has grown a sizeable, early lead on Verizon, T-Mobile and Sprint though all three rival carriers either have launched consumer 5G networks or plan to do so this week. As with prior cities, AT&T has limited sales of its first 5G phone — the Galaxy S10 5G — to only business users for now. Verizon announced Thursday that it has turned on Denver as its third 5G city, with Providence set to go live on July 1. Sprint has turned on four 5G cities– Atlanta, Dallas, Houston and Kansas City — with plans to launch five more in “the coming weeks.” Earlier this week T-Mobile announced that it would be turning on its 5G mmWave network in six cities, including Las Vegas, on Friday.  Now playing: Watch this: 0 Share your voice 9:40 5G AT&T Sprint T-Mobilecenter_img Post a comment Mobile Phones Tags AT&T 5G network has some of the fastest speeds we’ve…last_img read more

Jet Airways pay cut Pilots livid over 15 dip in salary airline

Jet Airways pay cut Pilots livid over 15 dip in salary airline

first_imgAn aircraft of India’s Jet Airways lands during rain showers in Mumbai on September 20, 2017PUNIT PARANJPE/AFP/Getty ImagesAfter Jet Airways informed its staffers that they would have to take a pay cut of up to 25 percent August 2018 onwards, most of the pilots will now see a dip of about 15 percent in their salary. The pilots are said to be livid about the move and have blamed the management for the losses the airline has incurred and said that it was their inefficiency that caused the trouble.The pilots explained that employees should not be the ones to suffer and also questioned the decisions of the management. Some pilots also asked how the airline was expanding, starting new routes and ordering new aircraft if there was a financial crunch.”The airline can not unilaterally impose a salary cut as it will violate agreement signed with pilots,” the Business Standard quoted a commander as saying.Jet Airways, which is India’s second largest carrier, has a debt of about Rs 84 billion, due to which it has been trying to cut costs. Chairman Naresh Goyal and a few top executives are said to have met around 100 pilots on Wednesday, August 1, in a bid to explain the challenges faced by the airline.The management is reportedly planning another similar meeting in Delhi soon.The staffers were earlier told that the percentage of the pay cut would range from 5 percent for those who earn about Rs 12 lakh per annum to 25 percent for those who earn Rs 1 crore and more a year. They are also informed that the senior management of the company too had already taken a pay cut.”As part of its cost rationalisation measures, the airline continues to evaluate all initiatives to achieve greater business efficiencies. Payroll is one of the important components of cost structure and the senior leadership has undertaken a reduction in salary to lead by example,” the Economic Times quoted Jet Airways as saying in a statement.Speaking of the cost-cutting an airline source told ET that the move could save about Rs 500 crore for the company, whose salary bill per year is said to stand at about Rs 3,000 crore. In July 2017, Jet Airways had asked its junior pilots, who joined the brand in 2016, to take a 30 percent pay cut or leaveReutersApart from pay cuts, the full-service carrier is also said to have laid off 15-20 senior executives in the last few weeks.Stake sale back on the table Meanwhile, the rising costs seem to have hit Jet Airways quite hard as the carrier has reportedly approached investment bankers again and plans to sell a stake. Sources told LiveMint that the airline has been facing financial woes due to rising competition, adverse effect of foreign exchange, and high fuel prices and is in need of immediate funds.”Jet Airways is looking to raise immediate cash and the transaction may include Jet Airways founder Naresh Goyal offloading a part of the promoter’s stake in the company,” the source revealed on condition of anonymity.Goyal owns a 51 percent stake in Jet Airways, and 24 percent is owned by Etihad Airways PJSC.However, Etihad’s stake is facing an uncertainty after Jet Airways signed an agreement with Air France-KLM in November 2017 to expand operations between India and Europe.last_img read more

Indonesia factory fire toll hits 47

Indonesia factory fire toll hits 47

first_imgIndonesian police officers check dead bodies after an explosion at a fireworks factory at Kosambi village in Tangerang, Banten province, Indonesia on 26 October 2017. ReutersTwo explosions and a fire at a fireworks factory in the western outskirts of Indonesia’s capital killed 47 people and injured dozens on Thursday, police said, and the death toll was expected to rise.Thick plumes of dark smoke billowed from a factory warehouse in the Tangerang district of Jakarta, an industrial and manufacturing hub on the island of Java, TV broadcasts showed.Hours later the burnout factory was still smouldering and there was a strong smell of burning plastic and chemicals.Witnesses said there were two explosions, one at around 10:00am (0300 GMT) and another about three hours later, both of which could be heard miles away, media reports said.A grisly video of the scene inside the warehouse, which was widely shared on social media, showed onlookers counting badly charred bodies.“From the manifest we obtained, there were 103 workers. Of those 103 workers … there were 46 who were injured,” Jakarta police spokesman Argo Yuwono told Metro Television. “We also found some who had died. There are 47 bodies.”An official had earlier put the death toll at 30.Yuwono said 10 people on the manifest who were not accounted for may have left with light injuries or not been working at the time of the blasts.The online video and media images of the PT Panca Buana Cahaya Sukses warehouse showed smouldering ash and debris, with the roof missing in some parts.A search and rescue official, Deden Nurjaman, said bodies were still inside and he expected the death toll to climb. “People were burned so badly you couldn’t see their faces… It was really bad,” said Nurjaman.Industrial safety standards in Indonesia are often low and rules poorly enforced. There have been a series of major fires this year, including one that engulfed one of Jakarta’s main markets.At the scene of Thursday’s disaster, the grass was scorched in an area around 10 metres from the site.Forensic police worked in the fading light to examine the debris and were trying to set up floodlights as night fell.A nearby mosque was holding prayers for the victims.Fiza, a doctor in the emergency unit at Tangerang General Hospital, told Metro TV he was treating seven people, some of them with burns to more than 80 percent of their bodies. Three were in critical condition.Syamsudin, a relative of two women who were being treated at the hospital, said the pair had only worked four days in the factory’s packing division.The factory had been operating for only two months, media said.“We are still looking into the cause of the fire,” police spokesman Yuwono said, adding that for now police were prioritising evacuating victims.Police were also investigating the factory’s permit, he said.last_img read more

HC dissatisfied with city corporations measures for fighting dengue

HC dissatisfied with city corporations measures for fighting dengue

first_imgHigh courtThe High Court on Sunday expressed dissatisfaction over measures taken by the two city corporations of capital Dhaka to prevent Dengue menace.A bench of justice FRM Nazmul Ahasan and KM Quamrul Kader expressed the view during the hearing of a suo moto case after the government prosecutors presented a progress report on the measures taken by the authority to prevent dengue.The court said responsible people of two city corporations did not take preventive measures in time. If steps had been taken, the current situation would have been prevented.People who were on duty to monitor the situation did not perform their duties properly. They lack proper temperament and skills, added the court.Deputy attorney general ABM Abdullah Al Mahmud Bashar and assistant attorney general Saiful Alam represented the state.During the hearing, the court asked the state counsels about differing kinds of statements regarding the number of people who died of dengue.ABM Abdullah replied saying according to the government 48 people died of dengue. People who died of dengue so far might have some other diseases. Some may suffer heart attack, he offered as an example. So it is a matter of scrutiny, he contended on behalf of the state.In response, the court said dengue is now spreading across the country. If the preventive measures were taken in due time, so many people would not have died.About medicine (insecticide), the court said the same medicine is being sprayed year after year without any test. Now the medicine is not working. Repeated use of a medicine made the mosquitoes develop tolerance, which has to be understood, the court said.However, while presenting the progress report, the DAG said the government has been very sincere to prevent dengue outbreak. Vacations were cancelled in all government hospitals. Customs duty has been exempted for importing medicine from abroad. Three surveillance teams have been formed. Hospitals that disobey government directives have been fined through mobile courts. Mobile courts were conducted in a total of 40 hospitals. The drive will continue.The court concluded without giving any ruling on the matter.last_img read more

Second Law of Thermodynamics May Explain Economic Evolution

Second Law of Thermodynamics May Explain Economic Evolution

first_img Citation: Second Law of Thermodynamics May Explain Economic Evolution (2009, November 2) retrieved 18 August 2019 from https://phys.org/news/2009-11-law-thermodynamics-economic-evolution.html As Annila and Salthe explain in their study published in Entropy, the second law of thermodynamics was originally formulated to describe the flow of heat from hot to cold areas. However, when formulated as an equation of motion, the second law can be used to describe many other processes in energetic terms, such as natural selection for the fittest species, organization of cellular metabolism, or an ecosystem’s food web. In these systems, free energy is consumed; that is, energy is dispersed in a way to promote the maximal increase of entropy, which is the essence of the second law.While economic activities are traditionally viewed as being motivated by profit, Annila and Salthe argue that the ultimate motivation of economic activities is not to maximize profit or productivity, but rather to disperse energy. From this perspective, a growing economy consists of entities (e.g. products, labor, etc.) that are assigned an energy density resulting from their individual production processes. These density differences are the forces that direct energy flows (e.g. manufacturing processes) to equalize energy density differences within the system and with respect to its surroundings. The scientists argue that this tendency to disperse the maximum amount of energy (that is, to consume free energy in the least time) is what gives rise to economic laws and regularities. Further, economies organize themselves in hierarchical systems within systems to improve on energy dispersal and to access new sources of energy. For instance, the global economy is comprised of national economies, each housing economic zones that in turn accommodate districts, firms, households and so on, organized so that global resources are produced and consumed most effectively in terms of energy dispersal. From this thermodynamic perspective, decision making is ultimately about choosing the action that causes energy to flow along the most steeply descending energy gradient. For example, when faced with two identical products where one is cheaper than the other, a consumer will likely choose the cheaper product. Evolution as Described by the Second Law of Thermodynamics This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only. Explore furthercenter_img (PhysOrg.com) — Terms such as the “invisible hand,” laissez-faire policy, and free-market principles suggest that economic growth and decline in capitalist societies seem to be somehow self-regulated. Now, scientists Arto Annila of the University of Helsinki and Stanley Salthe of Binghampton University in New York show that economic activity can be regarded as an evolutionary process governed by the second law of thermodynamics. Their perspective may provide insight into some fundamental economic questions, such as the causes of economic growth and diversification, as well as why it’s so difficult to predict economic growth and decline. “When investing on the cheaper but equally good product, more energy (in one’s assets) is left to be dispersed by buying other goods,” Annila explained to PhysOrg.com. “Also, when the cheaper product sells better, the energy used in its production gets consumed faster.”However, decision-making is not always this straightforward because consumers, producers, and other players in the market make decisions based on their subjective views of energy gradients, which are affected by diverse and often conflicting factors. Each player in the market may prefer a particular series of actions (their strategy) to move from one state to another that is higher in entropy production. When the circumstances change, for example due to other players’ actions, a player may revise their strategy in the quest to optimally consume free energy. As the scientists explain, it’s inherently impossible to predict future economic growth and decline in any detail from this perspective. The fundamental reason for this unpredictability is that the economy’s energy density is not constant, so that a player’s decision will affect future decisions that are open for other players. Physically speaking, the forces (free energy in resources) that drive the flows (economic activities) are in turn affected by the flows and so on. Moreover, each player tries to take into account how their decision will affect the decisions made by others. The result of these complex interactions based on subjective decision-making means that economies with highly effective mechanisms of energy dispersal, such as the stock exchange and the market of raw materials, may change very rapidly and unexpectedly. “The second law encourages activities that consume free energy as soon as possible,” Annila said. “Therefore, there is the quest to increase productivity and throughput and to find new sources of energy. Moreover, the second law reveals that it is impossible to predict in detail the optimal course of energy utilization because the chosen course itself affects the choice for future actions. Therefore, it makes sense to favor statistically independent actions that open new opportunities to consume free energy, and likewise to regard the use of insider information as illegal since it narrows the choices.”More information: Arto Annila and Stanley Salthe. “Economies Evolve by Energy Dispersal.” Entropy, 2009, 11, 606-633; doi:10.3390/e11040606Copyright 2009 PhysOrg.com. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed in whole or part without the express written permission of PhysOrg.com. Scientists have shown that economic activity can be viewed as a manifestation of the second law of thermodynamics. Image shows Brazilian money. Credit: Wikimedia Commons.last_img read more